Science Predictions

Browse science prediction markets on Predictagon.

Active markets: 274

science markets

Will the total estimated population of giant tortoises on the discovered Seychelles island exceed 200,000 by 2030-10-12?
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Will the Seychelles government implement new, specific conservation legislation for giant tortoises by 2028-12-31?
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Will the controversial vaccine trial in Guinea-Bissau, touted by RFK Jr., report positive efficacy results by December 31, 2027?
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Will Anthropic release a new foundational large language model (LLM) with over 500 billion parameters by 2028-06-30?
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Will the UN Secretary-General publicly announce a major new global climate initiative with specific 2030 targets by 2027-09-23?
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Will a new AI-specific mathematical notation or language, primarily developed by OpenAI, be proposed and widely discussed within the mathematics community by March 31, 2028?
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Will the US FDA approve at least two new GLP-1 receptor agonist drugs for weight management by December 31, 2027?
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Will the wild dog population in the region where the three brothers settled increase by at least 10% by 2029-09-17?
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Will at least two of the three wild dog brothers mentioned in the Guardian article still be alive and observed together in the wild by 2028-09-17?
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Will the number of new AI research papers published in leading peer-reviewed journals (e.g., Nature, Science, NeurIPS, ICML, AAAI) show a year-over-year decrease in 2027 compared to 2026?
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Will a major medical organization in the UK (e.g., NHS, GMC) announce new national guidelines for secondary cancer diagnosis verification by December 31, 2027?
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Will a peer-reviewed study published in a top-tier psychology or AI journal demonstrate AI's statistically significant superior persuasiveness over human experts in a controlled, double-blind setting by June 30, 2025?
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Will 'full-time travel' be explicitly mentioned as a coping mechanism for anxiety in at least two major mental health publications by December 31, 2024?
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Will a peer-reviewed scientific study published by December 31, 2025, demonstrate a statistically significant improvement in sleep quality for users of a commercially available smart sleep device?
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Will the National Park Service or a similar federal agency issue a public statement or report by December 31, 2024, regarding the ecological impact of tree removal in Washington D.C. parks?
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Will the CDC or a major public health organization issue a new, significant public health advisory specifically targeting measles vaccination rates in the US by September 30, 2024?
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Will the CDC issue a formal public statement by December 31, 2024, clarifying its stance on measles-related deaths in the US that contradicts a specific state health department's official count?
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Will the U.S. measles vaccination rate for kindergarteners (MMR) for the 2023-2024 school year be reported as below 93.0%?
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Will the CDC report over 1,000 confirmed measles cases in the U.S. for the full calendar year 2024?
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Will Joe Rohde release a new book or documentary detailing his creative process or life lessons by December 31, 2024?
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Will the Grand Canyon National Park experience another flash flood event causing significant infrastructure damage (comparable to the reported 40%) by September 30, 2025?
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Will the national average chronic absenteeism rate for K-12 students in the U.S. decrease by at least 2 percentage points from its current reported level by the end of the 2024-2025 school year?
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Will a peer-reviewed academic journal publish at least three new studies specifically linking Jungian archetypes in the workplace to improved employee retention by December 31, 2026?
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Will the average global temperature for 2027 exceed the average global temperature for 2026?
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