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user-generated· Science

Will the number of new AI research papers published in leading peer-r…

Market overview

Calls to slow development might influence the academic and research community, potentially leading to fewer new projects or publications. This question measures whether the pace of fundamental AI research output begins to decline. Data will be collected from major academic databases and journal archives.

Science prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
25%
Closes
2028-01-31

About this prediction

How this resolves

YES if the total count of AI-related research papers published in the specified leading journals and conferences in the calendar year 2027 is lower than the total count for the calendar year 2026. NO otherwise. Data will be sourced from official publication archives and reputable academic aggregators.

Source: user-generated

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