user-generated· Science
Will the average global temperature for 2027 exceed the average globa…
Market overview
The UK's record-breaking summer in 2026 is part of a broader global warming trend. It is highly probable that each subsequent year will be warmer than the last, continuing the established pattern.
Science prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2028-01-31
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) or a comparable reputable scientific body (e.g., NASA GISS, NOAA NCDC) officially reports that the average global surface temperature for the full calendar year 2027 is higher than that of 2026. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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