user-generated· Science
Will the Grand Canyon National Park experience another flash flood ev…
Market overview
Flash floods are a recurring natural hazard in arid regions like the Grand Canyon, especially during monsoon seasons. This question explores the likelihood of a similar scale of damage occurring again within the next year.
Science prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 30%
- Closes
- 2026-11-30
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if official reports from the National Park Service or NOAA confirm a flash flood event within Grand Canyon National Park that results in damage to critical infrastructure affecting 20% or more of its total extent. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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