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user-generated· Science

Will the CDC or a major public health organization issue a new, signi…

Market overview

A child's death from measles, especially with political scrutiny, could prompt a stronger public health response. This question gauges the likelihood of a significant new advisory, beyond routine recommendations, given the severity of the situation. While routine advisories exist, a *new, significant* one might be prompted by this event.

Science prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
60%
Closes
2026-11-30

About this prediction

How this resolves

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) or the World Health Organization (WHO) issues a new, distinct public health advisory or campaign specifically urging increased measles vaccination rates in the United States, beyond their existing general recommendations, in response to recent outbreaks or incidents.

Source: user-generated

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