user-generated· Science
Will the total estimated population of giant tortoises on the discove…
Market overview
With a large existing population and favorable conditions, natural growth could lead to an even higher count. This question assesses the future population trend based on natural reproduction and survival.
Science prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2030-10-12
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if an official scientific survey or government report, widely accepted by the scientific community, estimates the total giant tortoise population on the specific island to be greater than 200,000 by 2030-10-12. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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