user-generated· Science
Will the U.S. measles vaccination rate for kindergarteners (MMR) for…
Market overview
The increase in measles cases is often linked to declining vaccination rates. While the current rate is typically around 93%, continued vaccine hesitancy could lead to a further dip, making the population more vulnerable to outbreaks.
Science prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-11-30
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) or the National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (NCIRD) reports the national median or average measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR) vaccination coverage for kindergarteners for the 2023-2024 school year as less than 93.0%. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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