user-generated· Science
Will the national average chronic absenteeism rate for K-12 students…
Market overview
Addressing chronic absenteeism is a complex challenge requiring systemic changes, and significant improvements often take multiple school years to manifest. A 2-percentage-point decrease in a single year is ambitious given the entrenched nature of the problem.
Science prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 25%
- Closes
- 2026-11-30
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if official data released by the U.S. Department of Education or a widely recognized national educational research body shows a decrease of at least 2 percentage points in the national average K-12 chronic absenteeism rate for the 2024-2025 school year compared to the most recently reported full school year. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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