Resolved

Resolved prediction markets

Markets that have resolved, with the outcome and the final crowd probability. Open one to see whether the crowd got it right.

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Latest resolved markets (45)

• Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 2?

  Resolved NO · 2026-11-04

• Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 2?

  Resolved NO · 2026-11-04

• Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 2?

  Resolved NO · 2026-11-04

• Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on August 2?

  Resolved NO · 2026-11-04

• Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 2?

  Resolved NO · 2026-11-04

• Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on August 1?

  Resolved NO · 2026-11-04

• Exact Score: Ferro Carril Oeste 2 - 0 CD Godoy Cruz?

  Resolved NO · 2026-11-03

• Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on August 1?

  Resolved NO · 2026-11-03

• Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

  Resolved NO · 2026-11-02

• Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?

  Resolved NO · 2026-11-01

• Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

  Resolved NO · 2026-11-01

• US-Iran announce Strait of Hormuz deal by August 12

  Resolved NO · 2026-11-01

• SpaceX stock rises 10%+ after earnings

  Resolved NO · 2026-11-01

• Darline Graham wins South Carolina Senate primary

  Resolved YES · 2026-10-31

  Read the deep take →
• Bloomberg restores full access within 24 hours

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-31

• S&P 500 closes down >1% on Aug 10, 2026

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-31

• Verizon restores full service by Aug 10

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-31

• Bloomberg publishes article by 2026-08-11

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-31

• Kansas Republican primary winner backs data center development

  Resolved YES · 2026-10-31

  Read the deep take →
• S&P 500 closes above 5500 on 2026-08-11

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-31

• Dow Jones closes above 40000 on 2026-08-11

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-31

• All affected rail operators resume normal schedules by 9 Aug

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-31

• July nonfarm payrolls above 200,000

  Resolved YES · 2026-10-31

• Michigan Senate primary winner will be a moderate Democrat

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-31

  Read the deep take →
• Wesley Bell wins 2026 primary rematch

  Resolved YES · 2026-10-31

• KOSPI index closes below 2,400 on Aug 10, 2026

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-31

• Ukraine will deny responsibility for the beach drone attack by August 10, 2026

  Resolved YES · 2026-10-31

• John James Wins Michigan GOP Primary

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-31

• July jobs report beats expectations

  Resolved YES · 2026-10-31

• S&P 500 closes above 5,600 on jobs day

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-31

• Aptiv closes below $80 on 2026-08-05

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-31

• Greece declares state of emergency for wildfires

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-31

• Samsung Electronics drops more than 5% in a week

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-31

• UK amber heat alert extended beyond 5 Aug

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-31

• UK temperature hits 35C on 4 Aug 2026

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-31

• S&P 500 to close higher on Friday

  Resolved YES · 2026-10-30

• Strait of Hormuz Reopening Deal by Aug 7

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-30

• Dow rises at least 1% on August 6, 2026

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-30

• Miller withdraws by Aug 5 deadline

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-30

• S&P 500 closes up on August 5, 2026

  Resolved YES · 2026-10-30

• John James wins Michigan GOP gubernatorial primary

  Resolved YES · 2026-10-30

• Progressives win both Michigan House primaries

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-30

• Abdul El-Sayed wins Michigan Senate primary

  Resolved NO · 2026-10-30

  Read the deep take →
• Nikita Tszyu vs. Ben Mahoney

  Resolved YES · 2026-09-02

• Megaquake by August 31?

  Resolved NO · 2026-09-01