Resolved market
S&P 500 closes up on August 5, 2026
The crowd got it wrong: the market resolved YES.
- Resolved
- YES
- Final probability
- 1% YES
Did the crowd get it right?
- Did the crowd get it right on "S&P 500 closes up on August 5, 2026"?
- No. The market's final probability favored NO but it resolved YES.
- What was the final crowd split on "S&P 500 closes up on August 5, 2026"?
- The final probability was 1% YES and 99% NO.
- How did "S&P 500 closes up on August 5, 2026" resolve?
- It resolved YES on 2026-10-30.