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Resolved market

Darline Graham wins South Carolina Senate primary

The crowd got it wrong: the market resolved YES.

Resolved
YES
Final probability
1% YES

Did the crowd get it right?

Did the crowd get it right on "Darline Graham wins South Carolina Senate primary"?
No. The market's final probability favored NO but it resolved YES.
What was the final crowd split on "Darline Graham wins South Carolina Senate primary"?
The final probability was 1% YES and 99% NO.
How did "Darline Graham wins South Carolina Senate primary" resolve?
It resolved YES on 2026-10-31.

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