Resolved market
Dow rises at least 1% on August 6, 2026
The crowd got it right: the market resolved NO.
- Resolved
- NO
- Final probability
- 0% YES
Did the crowd get it right?
- Did the crowd get it right on "Dow rises at least 1% on August 6, 2026"?
- Yes. The market's final probability favored NO and it resolved NO.
- What was the final crowd split on "Dow rises at least 1% on August 6, 2026"?
- The final probability was 0% YES and 100% NO.
- How did "Dow rises at least 1% on August 6, 2026" resolve?
- It resolved NO on 2026-10-30.