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Resolved market

Abdul El-Sayed wins Michigan Senate primary

The crowd got it right: the market resolved NO.

Resolved
NO
Final probability
0% YES

Did the crowd get it right?

Did the crowd get it right on "Abdul El-Sayed wins Michigan Senate primary"?
Yes. The market's final probability favored NO and it resolved NO.
What was the final crowd split on "Abdul El-Sayed wins Michigan Senate primary"?
The final probability was 0% YES and 100% NO.
How did "Abdul El-Sayed wins Michigan Senate primary" resolve?
It resolved NO on 2026-10-30.

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