Resolved market
Megaquake by August 31?
The crowd got it right: the market resolved NO.
- Resolved
- NO
- Final probability
- 0% YES
Did the crowd get it right?
- Did the crowd get it right on "Megaquake by August 31?"?
- Yes. The market's final probability favored NO and it resolved NO.
- What was the final crowd split on "Megaquake by August 31?"?
- The final probability was 0% YES and 100% NO.
- How did "Megaquake by August 31?" resolve?
- It resolved NO on 2026-09-01.