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Will Iran

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Will Iran prediction markets

• Will Iran trigger a central bank response by Q2 2026?

  zeitgeist · $8,000

• Will Iran shift FX or commodity markets 2% before June 2026?

  zeitgeist · $31,000

• Will Iran publicly announce a halt or reduction in its uranium enrichment activities above 3.67% purity by June 30, 2028?

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• Will Iran completely block the Strait of Hormuz to all maritime traffic for at least 24 consecutive hours before December 31, 2028?

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• Will Iran confirm uranium cache recovery by Sept 2026?

  zeitgeist

• Will Iran's crude oil exports increase by more than 500,000 barrels per day (bpd) from current levels by December 31, 2027?

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• Will Iran officially announce a temporary closure or significant disruption of the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping before June 1, 2028?

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• Will Iran's crude oil production exceed 3.5 million barrels per day for any calendar month in 2027?

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• Will Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) publicly claim responsibility for any retaliatory action against US or allied shipping in the Persian Gulf by November 30, 2027?

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• Will Iran's crude oil exports exceed 2 million barrels per day for any calendar month in Q4 2027?

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• Will Iran's new regime officially recognize Israel as a sovereign state by December 31, 2025?

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• Will Iran's new regime hold a free and fair national election, as determined by a major international observer group, by December 31, 2026?

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• Will Iran's new regime sign a new nuclear deal with the P5+1 nations (China, France, Russia, UK, US, plus Germany) by December 31, 2025?

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• Will Iran's current Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, publicly name a successor by December 31, 2024?

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• Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% purity (weapons-grade) by December 31, 2027?

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• Will Iran release the South Korean-flagged tanker MT Hankuk Chemi by February 28, 2028?

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• Will Iran publicly announce a breach of its current uranium enrichment limits (as per JCPOA) by August 31, 2028?

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• Will Iran's enriched uranium stockpile exceed 3,000 kg by September 30, 2027?

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• Will Iran formally withdraw from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) by September 30, 2027?

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• Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% purity by December 31, 2027?

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• Will Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) directly interdict a non-military, humanitarian aid shipment in the Strait of Hormuz before October 1, 2027?

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• Will Iran be involved in a direct military conflict with a non-neighboring state by December 31, 2028?

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• Will Iran's crude oil production (excluding condensates) average below 3 million barrels per day in Q4 2028?

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• Will Iran's Ministry of Foreign Affairs issue a public condemnation or protest regarding the scrapping of Iranian-linked ships by December 31, 2028?

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