Will Iran's new regime sign a new nuclear deal with the P5+1 nations…

A 'very different' regime might prioritize re-engagement with the international community and seek to alleviate sanctions through a new nuclear agreement. However, past negotiations have been complex and fraught with challenges.

World · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

30%

Closes

2026-10-03

More World markets

• Will Australian Open dominate headlines in the next 12-18 months? — 30% Yes
• Will the United States and Iran sign a new nuclear deal or a significant interim agreement by December 31, 2027? — 35% Yes
• Will the European Union announce new collective energy rationing measures for the winter of 2027-2027 by November 30, 2027? — 25% Yes
• Will the U.S. and Brazil reach a new trade agreement addressing 'unfair trade practices' by June 30, 2028? — 30% Yes
• Will the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) request significant additional international aid specifically for the Ebola response by September 30, 2027? — 70% Yes
• Will Iran be involved in a direct military conflict with a NATO member state by December 31, 2027? — 25% Yes
• Will a formal joint statement regarding progress in U.S.-Iran talks be released by February 29, 2027? — 25% Yes
• Will Iran's crude oil production (excluding condensates) average below 3 million barrels per day in Q4 2028? — 45% Yes

Browse all World markets →