Will Iran release the South Korean-flagged tanker MT Hankuk Chemi by February 28, 2028?

General Petraeus suggests Iran is 'blinking' regarding the Strait of Hormuz. The release of the seized tanker would be a strong indicator of de-escalation. This question focuses on a specific, verifiable action related to the ongoing tensions.

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2030-08-23