SHEFE cancellation triggers 20% drop in UK aid to global education
Resolves: UK total foreign aid expenditure on global education (exclusive of SHEFE) falls below 80% of its 2025-2026 level (£225m) by March 31, 2027, as reported by the FCDO or ODA statistics.
SHEFE cancellation triggers 20% drop in UK aid to global education
Market overview
The withdrawal of the £45m SHEFE program signals broader cuts to UK foreign aid funding for women's education. This will likely reduce total UK aid allocated to global education initiatives by at least 20% by March 2027, based on historical patterns following similar program cancellations.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2027-03-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
UK total foreign aid expenditure on global education (exclusive of SHEFE) falls below 80% of its 2025-2026 level (£225m) by March 31, 2027, as reported by the FCDO or ODA statistics.
Source: user-generated
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