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UK 10-year gilt yields exceed 5.5% by October 2027

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user-generated· macro

UK 10-year gilt yields exceed 5.5% by October 2027

Market overview

Investors will increasingly price in fiscal risks under potential new Labour leadership, driving UK 10-year gilt yields above 5.13% to levels not seen since the 2008 financial crisis. Rising oil prices ($100+/barrel) and inflation concerns will exacerbate this trend.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2027-12-31

Source: user-generated

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