Trump's approval rating drops below 40% by year-end
Resolves: Trump's approval rating falls below 40% in major national polls (e.g., Gallup, Pew Research) by December 31, 2023.
user-generated· macro
Trump's approval rating drops below 40% by year-end
Market overview
The ongoing Iran conflict and growing concerns from both allies and critics will likely erode public support for President Trump. As the war drags on without a clear resolution, Trump's handling of foreign policy may become a significant factor in declining approval ratings.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Trump's approval rating falls below 40% in major national polls (e.g., Gallup, Pew Research) by December 31, 2023.
Source: user-generated
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