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U.S. energy production hits new annual record in 2026

Resolves: U.S. annual energy production (crude oil + natural gas, measured in quadrillion BTUs) for 2026 exceeds the 2025 annual record by at least 3%, as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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user-generated· macro

U.S. energy production hits new annual record in 2026

Market overview

The article notes the U.S. has achieved four straight years of record energy production. With continued investment in fossil fuels and renewables, U.S. crude oil and natural gas output will surpass the 2025 record by at least 3% in 2026.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
80%
Closes
2027-01-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

U.S. annual energy production (crude oil + natural gas, measured in quadrillion BTUs) for 2026 exceeds the 2025 annual record by at least 3%, as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

Source: user-generated

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