Japan’s 30-year JGB yield falls below 0.50% by end-2026
Resolves: The annual average yield on Japan's 30-year government bond (JGB) for December 2026 is below 0.50%, as reported by the Bank of Japan or Bloomberg’s JGB yield data.
user-generated· macro
Japan’s 30-year JGB yield falls below 0.50% by end-2026
Market overview
Strong demand at the July 2026 30-year JGB auction suggests sustained downward pressure on long-term yields. The BoJ’s gradual policy normalization and weak inflation expectations support further compression in long-dated yields.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The annual average yield on Japan's 30-year government bond (JGB) for December 2026 is below 0.50%, as reported by the Bank of Japan or Bloomberg’s JGB yield data.
Source: user-generated
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