Obamacare enrollment drops below 8 million by 2027
Resolves: Total Obamacare enrollment (as reported by CMS) is less than 8 million.
user-generated· macro
Obamacare enrollment drops below 8 million by 2027
Market overview
National Obamacare enrollment fell to 20.5 million in 2025 and is projected to drop further as subsidies remain expired. By Q2 2027, enrollment is expected to fall below 8 million due to continued non-payment of premiums and stricter eligibility enforcement.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2027-06-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Total Obamacare enrollment (as reported by CMS) is less than 8 million.
Source: user-generated
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