U.S. GDP growth slows below 1.8% in 2027 due to shrinking 45-64 workforce
Resolves: U.S. real GDP growth rate for 2027 is 1.8% or lower as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
user-generated· macro
U.S. GDP growth slows below 1.8% in 2027 due to shrinking 45-64 workf…
Market overview
The 2.68M decline in the 45-64 population reduces tax revenue and corporate tax contributions, directly impacting GDP growth. Historical labor force participation rates for this cohort suggest a measurable slowdown in economic activity.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2027-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
U.S. real GDP growth rate for 2027 is 1.8% or lower as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Source: user-generated
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