US 10-year yield exceeds 4.5%
Resolves: US Treasury 10-year note yield closes above 4.5% per Federal Reserve data.
user-generated· macro
US 10-year yield exceeds 4.5%
Market overview
US 10-year Treasury yield closes above 4.5% on any day before year-end.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
US Treasury 10-year note yield closes above 4.5% per Federal Reserve data.
Source: user-generated
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