World Cup 2026 economic impact on U.S. tourism exceeds $10 billion by 2027-03-31
Resolves: U.S. tourism revenue attributed to the 2026 World Cup exceeds $10 billion
user-generated· macro
World Cup 2026 economic impact on U.S. tourism exceeds $10 billion by…
Market overview
The World Cup has driven record attendance (6.26 million fans) and 7.7 million in Fan Festival participation. Given the influx of international tourists and domestic travel, U.S. tourism revenue directly tied to the World Cup will exceed $10 billion by March 31, 2027, as reported by official economic impact studies.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2027-03-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
U.S. tourism revenue attributed to the 2026 World Cup exceeds $10 billion
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- US 10-year yield exceeds 4.5% — 55% Yes
- US stock market leads global equities by year-end 2026 — 70% Yes
- DXY peaks above 110 by March 2027 — 65% Yes
- Pip claimant count to exceed 4.5 million by December 2026 — 62% Yes
- Bipartisan budget deal passes before December 2026 — 60% Yes
- UK 10-year gilt yields exceed 5.5% by October 2027 — 70% Yes
- Venezuela to receive over $1 billion in international aid by end of 2026 — 72% Yes
- Oil prices exceed $100 per barrel by December 2026 due to Middle East tensions — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…