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user-generated· geopolitics

Iran attacks 30+ tankers by 2026-12-31

Market overview

Iran will attack at least 30 commercial tankers in the Strait of Hormuz by year-end 2026.

geopolitics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
75%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Public reports confirm ≥30 tanker attacks by Iran in Strait of Hormuz since 2026-10-07.

Source: user-generated

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