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user-generated· geopolitics

Lebanese government collapses by December 2027 due to crisis

Market overview

The ongoing conflict and economic strain will force Lebanese Prime Minister Najib Mikati to resign or trigger a parliamentary vote of no confidence. A caretaker government will struggle to maintain stability, increasing risks of political fragmentation.

geopolitics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
55%
Closes
2027-12-31

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