Will a formal ceasefire framework be signed in at least one major act…

Market overview

This market asks whether a formal ceasefire framework will be signed in a significant active conflict zone by the end of the third quarter of 2026. Its resolution hinges on public announcements or treaties establishing a ceasefire in conflicts such as those in Ukraine, Sudan, or the Middle East.

Geopolitics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Volume

$0

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