user-generated· geopolitics
US-Colombia coffee tariff deal by Dec 31
Market overview
US and Colombia announce a resolution or suspension of coffee tariffs before 2027.
geopolitics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
A joint official statement from US and Colombian governments confirms a tariff reduction, suspension, or agreement on coffee imports by Dec 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
More geopolitics markets
- Will a formal ceasefire framework be signed in a major active conflict zone by Q3 2026, leading to global oil benchmarks staying below $95 for the remainder of 2026? — 30% Yes
- Will global oil benchmarks (Brent/WTI) stay below $95 for the remainder of 2026? — 55% Yes
- Will a formal ceasefire framework be signed in at least one major active conflict zone by Q3 2026? — 60% Yes
- Lebanese government collapses by December 2027 due to crisis — 55% Yes
- Western leaders will not attend Russia’s Victory Day parade in 2027 — 90% Yes
- US-Saudi relations will deteriorate by Q1 2027 — 65% Yes
- US lowers tariffs on Mexican cars by Dec 2026 — 60% Yes
- Ecuador minister blames Kenya within 14 days — 50% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…