NHS England will miss the 92% 18-week waiting time target by 2029

Market overview

The current trajectory shows only a 6.3 percentage point improvement from 65.3% to the 92% target over 4 years, requiring an average annual increase of 6.7 percentage points—unrealistic given historical trends and resource constraints.

healthcare prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Source: user-generated

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