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Ohio's Obamacare enrollment will further decline by 20% by 2027

Resolves: Ohio's Obamacare enrollment declines by 20% or more from the 2026 figure reported by CMS as of Q1 2027.

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user-generated· healthcare

Ohio's Obamacare enrollment will further decline by 20% by 2027

Market overview

Ohio lost nearly a third of its Obamacare coverage (33%) since last year. With subsidies still expired and no state-level intervention announced, further erosion is likely as premium non-payments continue. Analysts project additional 20% enrollment drop by mid-2027.

healthcare prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
75%
Closes
2027-03-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Ohio's Obamacare enrollment declines by 20% or more from the 2026 figure reported by CMS as of Q1 2027.

Source: user-generated

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