ACA enrollment drops exceed 2 million by December 2028

Market overview

Current trends show ACA enrollment falling 17-26% from 2025 levels. With enhanced subsidies expired and new Medicaid work requirements in place, enrollment is projected to drop below 20 million by year-end 2025.

healthcare prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

78%

Closes

2028-12-31

Source: user-generated

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