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Reform UK's poll rating drops below 10% by year-end

Resolves: Reform UK's national poll rating falls below 10% in major UK polling averages.

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user-generated· geopolitics

Reform UK's poll rating drops below 10% by year-end

Market overview

Recent scandals will cause Reform UK's poll rating to fall below 10% by December 2026.

geopolitics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Reform UK's national poll rating falls below 10% in major UK polling averages.

Source: user-generated

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