Zamfara state records 30% drop in bandit attacks by end of 2026
Resolves: Zamfara state records a 30% or greater decrease in the number of bandit attacks, kidnappings, or cattle rustling incidents in 2026 compared to 2025, based on official Nigerian government or independent security reports.
Zamfara state records 30% drop in bandit attacks by end of 2026
Market overview
Zamfara state will experience a 30% reduction in bandit attacks, kidnappings, and cattle rustling incidents by December 31, 2026, compared to the same period in 2025. This follows the military operation and continued vigilante cooperation.
geopolitics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Zamfara state records a 30% or greater decrease in the number of bandit attacks, kidnappings, or cattle rustling incidents in 2026 compared to 2025, based on official Nigerian government or independent security reports.
Source: user-generated
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