Iran's oil exports fall below 1M bpd by Q1 2027
Resolves: OPEC monthly report shows Iran's oil exports <1M bpd in March 2027.
user-generated· macro
Iran's oil exports fall below 1M bpd by Q1 2027
Market overview
Iran's crude oil exports will drop below 1 million barrels per day by March 2027.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2027-03-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
OPEC monthly report shows Iran's oil exports <1M bpd in March 2027.
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- UK emigration for healthcare access doubles by 2028 — 70% Yes
- Fed cuts rates by at least 50 bps by December 2026 — 70% Yes
- Federal healthcare subsidy costs to exceed $70 billion in 2027 — 80% Yes
- Number of girls in SHEFE-affected regions drops by 20% by 2027 — 80% Yes
- Colorado River water restrictions by 2028 — 60% Yes
- 10-year Treasury yield exceeds 6% by Q1 2027 — 70% Yes
- US Treasury yields to decline as Middle East tensions escalate — 70% Yes
- Iran's GDP contracts by at least 5% in 2026 due to sanctions and instability — 80% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…