UK emigration for healthcare access doubles by 2028
Resolves: UK Office for National Statistics data shows UK emigration for healthcare access exceeds 100,000 annually by 2028.
user-generated· macro
UK emigration for healthcare access doubles by 2028
Market overview
The number of UK residents relocating abroad primarily for healthcare access will more than double from 2023 levels by the end of 2028. This trend is driven by dissatisfaction with NHS chronic condition management and wait times.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2028-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
UK Office for National Statistics data shows UK emigration for healthcare access exceeds 100,000 annually by 2028.
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- 10-year Treasury yield exceeds 5% by Q4 2026 due to Fed oversight — 67% Yes
- Ukraine aid funding drops 20% in next federal budget cycle — 70% Yes
- US new business filings surpass 2026 record by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Fed holds interest rates steady through 2026 due to labor stability — 70% Yes
- Fed cuts rates within 6 months under Warsh — 70% Yes
- AI boosts oil production by 5%+ by 2027 — 70% Yes
- U.S. energy production hits new annual record in 2026 — 80% Yes
- Trump's approval rating drops below 40% by year-end — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…