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US Treasury yields to decline as Middle East tensions escalate

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user-generated· macro

US Treasury yields to decline as Middle East tensions escalate

Market overview

Heightened geopolitical risks often lead investors to flee equities and seek safety in bonds, pushing yields downward. Given the current US-Iran tensions, 10-year Treasury yields are expected to drop below 4.0% by August 2026.

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Implied probability (Yes)
70%

Source: user-generated

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