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NHS faces 20% increase in private healthcare expenditure by 2027

Resolves: UK private healthcare expenditure (as reported by the NHS Confederation or ONS) increases by at least 20% compared to the 2025 baseline in the 2026-2027 fiscal year.

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user-generated· healthcare

NHS faces 20% increase in private healthcare expenditure by 2027

Market overview

Patients with chronic conditions are increasingly turning to private healthcare due to NHS inefficiencies. Given the 37% dissatisfaction rate among long-term condition patients, private expenditure is expected to surge by 20% or more within 18 months.

healthcare prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
80%
Closes
2027-01-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

UK private healthcare expenditure (as reported by the NHS Confederation or ONS) increases by at least 20% compared to the 2025 baseline in the 2026-2027 fiscal year.

Source: user-generated

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