De minimis imports drop 20% in Q4 2026
Resolves: Official U.S. trade data shows de minimis import volume in Q4 2026 is at least 20% lower than Q4 2025.
user-generated· macro
De minimis imports drop 20% in Q4 2026
Market overview
U.S. de minimis import volume falls at least 20% in Q4 2026 vs Q4 2025.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2027-01-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Official U.S. trade data shows de minimis import volume in Q4 2026 is at least 20% lower than Q4 2025.
Source: user-generated
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