user-generated· environmental
IUCN Red List will add at least 500 new species to critically endange…
Market overview
The IUCN will publish an updated Red List in December 2026 that includes significant additions to the Critically Endangered category, driven by habitat destruction from mining, climate change, and other human activities. The additions will exceed the number added in the previous year.
environmental prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
More environmental markets
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- Deep-sea vent mollusc extinction surpasses 66% by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Numbat population recovery exceeds 50% by 2028 — 60% Yes
- Desert rain frog extinction declared within 18 months — 80% Yes
- Desert rain frog declared extinct in the wild by 2028 — 68% Yes
- Will any new construction or development project begin at Big Bend National Park by December 31, 2025, that is directly related to the halted project's original scope? — 25% Yes
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