user-generated· environmental
Desert rain frog population declines by 20% within two years due to d…
Market overview
The desert rain frog's habitat in southern Africa will face accelerated destruction as diamond mining companies expand operations into previously untouched desert regions. Field surveys and tracking data will show a measurable decline in population density and breeding sites.
environmental prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 80%
- Closes
- 2028-07-31
More environmental markets
- Mollusk extinction events accelerate in deep-sea vents — 68% Yes
- Deep-sea vent mollusc extinction surpasses 66% by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Numbat population recovery exceeds 50% by 2028 — 60% Yes
- Desert rain frog extinction declared within 18 months — 80% Yes
- Desert rain frog declared extinct in the wild by 2028 — 68% Yes
- Will any new construction or development project begin at Big Bend National Park by December 31, 2025, that is directly related to the halted project's original scope? — 25% Yes
- IUCN Red List will add at least 500 new species to critically endangered category by end of 2026 — 70% Yes
Loading…