user-generated· environmental
Desert rain frog extinction declared within 18 months
Market overview
By December 31, 2027, the IUCN Red List will classify the desert rain frog (Breviceps macrops) as Extinct in the Wild due to the expansion of diamond mining in its southern African habitat. This follows the current assessment of the species as Critically Endangered.
environmental prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 80%
- Closes
- 2027-12-31
More environmental markets
- Mollusk extinction events accelerate in deep-sea vents — 68% Yes
- Desert rain frog population declines by 20% within two years due to diamond mining expansion — 80% Yes
- Deep-sea vent mollusc extinction surpasses 66% by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Numbat population recovery exceeds 50% by 2028 — 60% Yes
- Desert rain frog declared extinct in the wild by 2028 — 68% Yes
- Will any new construction or development project begin at Big Bend National Park by December 31, 2025, that is directly related to the halted project's original scope? — 25% Yes
- IUCN Red List will add at least 500 new species to critically endangered category by end of 2026 — 70% Yes
Loading…