user-generated· geopolitics
Donald Trump secures NATO expansion deal by 2027
Market overview
Trump's recent threats to sever ties with NATO allies and annex territory highlight his aggressive stance. His praise for Rutte suggests a willingness to negotiate, likely leading to a formal NATO expansion deal by mid-2027.
geopolitics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2027-06-30
More geopolitics markets
- Will a formal ceasefire framework be signed in a major active conflict zone by Q3 2026, leading to global oil benchmarks staying below $95 for the remainder of 2026? — 30% Yes
- Will global oil benchmarks (Brent/WTI) stay below $95 for the remainder of 2026? — 55% Yes
- Will a formal ceasefire framework be signed in at least one major active conflict zone by Q3 2026? — 60% Yes
- Lebanese government collapses by December 2027 due to crisis — 55% Yes
- Western leaders will not attend Russia’s Victory Day parade in 2027 — 90% Yes
- Ecuador minister blames Kenya within 14 days — 50% Yes
- US lowers tariffs on Mexican cars by Dec 2026 — 60% Yes
- UK increases military aid to Ukraine by end-2026 — 75% Yes
Loading…