El Obeid falls to RSF by August 2026

The Rapid Support Forces (RSF) will successfully capture El Obeid from the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) within the next 30 days. Escalating drone strikes and sieges have weakened SAF defenses, as evidenced by recent UN reports and Amnesty International findings.

geopolitics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

72%

Closes

2026-08-31

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