Boko Haram and ISWAP merge operations in Nigeria by 2027-03-31

Market overview

Jihadist groups Boko Haram and ISWAP will formalize operational ties in Nigeria's northeast by Q1 2027. Their shared insurgency goals and weakened state response will accelerate this merger.

geopolitics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2027-03-31

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