user-generated· geopolitics
Sudanese Armed Forces regain control of El Obeid by December 2026
Market overview
The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) will intensify their efforts to reclaim El Obeid from the RSF, given its strategic importance. With increased military support and international pressure on the RSF, the SAF is likely to succeed in retaking the city by December 2026, reducing drone strikes and improving security for civilians.
geopolitics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
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