US-Iran agreement before 2026-12-31

Market overview

The fragile negotiating process between the US and Iran will yield a formal agreement by year-end 2026, despite recent military escalations and Trump's hostile rhetoric. The failure of military options and the necessity of addressing Iran's nuclear program and regional influence make talks the only feasible path forward.

geopolitics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2026-12-31

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