U.S. conducts major military strike on Iran within 90 days

Market overview

Iran's supreme leader vows revenge for his father's assassination and Trump has already ordered military preparations. A direct Iranian attack on U.S. interests or Trump's life would trigger a significant U.S. military response within 90 days of July 11, 2026.

geopolitics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2026-10-10

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