Strait of Hormuz reopens by December 31, 2026

Market overview

Despite current delays, Iran and Gulf states finalize a security and transit agreement by Q4 2026. Port and infrastructure repairs are completed on schedule, enabling commercial shipping to resume. The reopening aligns with OPEC+ supply stabilization efforts.

geopolitics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Closes

2026-12-31

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